You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Minnesota and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Minnesota by the Numbers
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Minnesota are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Minnesota compares nationally and to other states in the Midwest Region. You can see the complete Midwest breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Minnesota Players by Division (1285)
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
Overall, the college baseball outlook for Minnesota high school graduates across all levels (10.19%) is below the Midwest average (11.11%) and the national average (12.58%). The two levels of college ball where the probability of playing is better than national averages is at the D2 (2.21%) and D3 (3.85%) ranks. With 8 D2 and 17 D3 programs in Minnesota, these numbers make sense. With no NAIA programs and only recently getting the 2nd in-state D1 program, it’s no wonder that the probability of playing at these levels (.6% and 1.13%, respectively) are so far below Midwest and national averages. Almost all Minnesota players who continue on in college play in-state or a bordering state.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
