You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Virginia and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Virginia by the Numbers
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Virginia are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Virginia compares nationally and to other states in the Mid-Atlantic Region. You can see the complete Mid-Atlantic breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Virginia Players by Division (1566)
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
Virginia’s 17.45% college baseball participation rate is the best of the region outside of Washington DC and almost 5% points higher than the national average of 12.58%. Virginia is above national and regional averages at both the D1 (4.23%) and D3 (7.63%) levels, where it is 1st and 2nd in regional rankings for each level when you exclude DC. Virginia is also above the national average (2.05%) at the D2 level, sending 2.12% of players to play D2. While Virginia’s 0.47% NAIA participation rate is nothing to write home about, it is above the regional average of 0.35% and good for second-best among Mid-Atlantic states. At the JUCO level, Virginia falls short of national (3.30%) and regional (2.90%) averages, sending only 2.63% of players to play junior college ball. Virgina emerging as leader of the strongest region likely stems from having a lot of college programs relative to the 9,022 high school baseball players the state has. Virgina has 13 D1, 3 D2, 16 D3, 1 NAIA, 7 JUCO, and 2 USCAA programs in-state. The USCAA programs translate to a .31% participation rate at that level, which is more than double the national average.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
