You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Utah and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Utah
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Utah are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Utah compares nationally and to other states in the West Region. You can see the complete West breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Utah Players by Division (346)
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
Overall, the college baseball outlook for Utah high school graduates across all levels is low (9.31%) when compared to its region (14.52%) and national average (12.58%). In fact, Utah is the only state in the Western Region that is below those marks. In terms of climate and terrain, Utah is a bit of an outlier in the West Region, so it’s last place college participation ranking shouldn’t come as a big surprise. Utah is dead even with the D1 national probability (2.32%), above the national average for JUCO (4.83% to 3.30%), and significantly below the national averages for D2, D3, and NAIA. The respective 0.73%, 0.73%, and 0.67% probability of playing at those levels comes nowhere near the national standard. These totals make sense, since Utah’s 6 in-state college baseball options exist at levels where next level probability is highest (4 D1 and 2 JUCO programs). 1/3 of the Beehive State’s college players attend in-state programs and anyone looking to play at the D2, D3, or NAIA level will have to look elsewhere. About 50% of out of state participants head west to California, Oregon, and Washington.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
