You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Connecticut and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Connecticut
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Connecticut are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Connecticut compares nationally and to other states in the Northeast Region. You can see the complete Northeast breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Connecticut Players by Division (1,017)
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
It may be surprising to find out that Connecticut, in many ways, is the leader of the Northeast’s success at moving players to the next level. Overall, the college baseball outlook for Connecticut graduates moving on to any level of college baseball (19.16%) is well above both national (12.58%) and regional (15.36%) averages. If that total seems really high, it is! Connecticut’s overall probability is the 4th best of any state in the US. The probability of moving on to the D3 level (10.93%) accounts for more than half of the overall total, and is tops of any state in the country. Only Washington DC (11.88%) has a better D3 pipeline in terms of probability. The odds of playing at the D1 level (4.28%) are tops in the region and well above national average of 2.32%. Connecticut also is above average for the region and nationally at moving players to the D2 level, coming in at a 2.92% clip. The state excels across all three NCAA levels, which makes up for well below average marks for the NAIA (0.06%) and JUCO (0.89%) levels. The abundance of NCAA options at all levels throughout New England and the Northeast help explain why the state thrives at those level and falls way short at the others. It makes sense that over 90% of Connecticut high school players stay in the Northeast for college baseball, since there is no shortage of quality options at the D1, D2, and D3 levels.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
