You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Ohio and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Ohio by the Numbers
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Ohio are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Ohio compares nationally and to other states in the Midwest Region. You can see the complete Midwest breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
It may surprise you to find out that Ohio has the 3rd most high school baseball players of any state in the country. As such, the total number of college baseball players from Ohio (2,200) is significant. Even so, the probability of playing college baseball at any level for Ohio players (10.2%) is well below both the national (12.58%) and Midwest Region (11.11%) averages. Only D2 and D3 representation from Ohio is above the national and Midwest marks, and just barely. At first glance, the probability of playing at the D3 level (3.48%) seems okay when compared to the national (3.10%) and Midwest (2.84%) averages. But given Ohio’s 22 in-state Division III programs gives it the third most of any state, we would expect the percentage of players moving on to that level to be much higher, especially since roughly 3/4 of Ohio’s college players play in the Buckeye state. With 9 junior college programs in-state, the low participation rate at that level (1.28%) is also alarming. A glance at the participation map (see above) shows that very few Ohio baseball players play outside of Ohio and its bordering states.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
