You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Tennessee and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Tennessee by the Numbers
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Tennessee are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Tennessee compares nationally and to other states in the Southeast Region. You can see the complete Southwest breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Tennessee Players by Division (1,145)
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
Tennessee’s 13.04% overall college baseball participation rate gives it the 5th best mark in the Southeast Region. That’s above the national average (12.58%) but below the regional mark. Tennessee’s only major level that is above both the national and regional averages is the NAIA. Tennessee’s 3.0% NAIA participation rate is best in the region and nearly double the national average. The Volunteer State is better than the national average for the D1 and D2 levels, sending a respective 2.84% and 2.72% of players on to participate at each level. That’s good for only 6th and 7th best in the nine-state region, which is a testament to the southeast’s ability to move players to the D1 and D2 ranks as a whole. Despite being below regional and national averages, Tennessee’s 1.4% participation rate for the D3 level ranks 4th best in the southeast, showing how poorly a job the southeast does at getting kids to the D3 level. Rounding out the major levels, Tennessee sends 3.07% of high school participants on to the JUCO ranks, which is the 3rd lowest total in the region. Interestingly, the state has no NCCAA or USCAA participation at all.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
