You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Michigan and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Michigan by the Numbers
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Michigan are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Michigan compares nationally and to other states in the Midwest Region. You can see the complete Midwest breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Michigan Players by Division (1726)
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
Michigan has the 3rd most high school participants in the Midwest region and top 10 participation nationally. Overall, the college baseball outlook for Michigan high school graduates is below average. It’s 10.43% probability of playing college baseball at any level is lower than the national average of 12.58%. Like the Midwest region itself, the only level of college baseball where Michigan graduates have a higher probability of playing than the national average is the NAIA level. With 10 NAIA programs in-state, this isn’t altogether surprising. What is a bit more surprising is that Michigan ballplayers have only a 1.21% probability of playing at the D1 level, far below the national average of 2.3 and even well below the Midwest region’s 1.6%. Even with top 10 national high school participation totals, only 200 Michigan high school grads are at the D1 level right now. That total is well below neighboring Indiana (260) to the south, despite having 6,000+ more high school baseball participants than the Hoosier state. Only 6 in-state D1 programs may contribute to that issue since 1,323 of Michigan’s 1,724 college players stay in-state.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
