You’re interested in playing college baseball, but what are your chances of making it to the next level? While many tout national probability as gospel, it turns out your odds of playing at the next level vary greatly depending on where you live.
If you live in Kentucky and are wondering what percentage of high school graduates from your state play at each college level and where they are playing, you’ve come to the right place. In this article, we team up with our friends at College Baseball Insights to provide you with state-level overview of your chances to play at the next level.
You can see an overview of our resources, methodology, and limitations on our College Baseball Participation Overview Main Page, as well find overviews on other states and regions.
Kentucky by the Numbers
In the table below, you’ll see how many high school players from Kentucky are playing at each level of college baseball, the probability of playing at each college level, and how Kentucky compares nationally and to other states in the Midwest Region. You can see the complete Midwest breakdown HERE.
Where Are They Playing?
Image and data credit: College Baseball Insights
The Breakdown
Overall, the probability of playing college baseball at any level for graduates of the Bluegrass state (9.58%) is well below national (12.58%) and Midwest (11.11%) averages. All levels of college baseball are under-represented by Kentucky graduates with the exception of NAIA, which has a 3.15% participation rate north of the national average (1.54%) and Midwest average (2.14%). Kentucky’s under-representation in college baseball is not surprising given the state has no junior college programs and only 26 total college baseball programs within its borders. For this reason, the neighboring states have nearly half the total number of participants as those deciding to play in-state, which is on the high end, especially for the Midwest. The state’s three Division 2 programs help explain why the D2 participation rate is the lowest of any college level at 1.06%.
Want to see additional states and regional breakdowns? Find them HERE.
Limitations
This article was written with data and insights from 3rd party sources, College Baseball Insights and NFHS High School Participation Data. Data and insights are subject to revision and/or change. We’ve attempted to display as accurate a picture as possible with the information that is available. Readers should be aware that college baseball roster data is fluid and changes throughout the year. Every attempt is made to reconcile data and keep up with changes, but this article may not reflect the changes or updates from 3rd parties. Insights cannot account for gap year programs, misreported roster information, or other inaccuracies which may slightly alter the numbers and percentages used in this article. Insights are subject to change and are based on best available information.
